Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.267328 1.479168 1.715080 1.997244 2.325575 2.695626 3.144478
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.925733 1.206946 1.555687 2.019873 2.621717 3.376108 4.394556
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.709128 1.000303 1.390094 1.949887 2.733628 3.792918 5.335796
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.627753 0.943940 1.394276 2.082124 3.106949 4.579166 6.859360
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.518416 0.823947 1.283120 2.022939 3.186198 4.947819 7.825254
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.432785 0.722817 1.180144 1.953038 3.228238 5.252552 8.719898
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.367242 0.641766 1.094041 1.892462 3.268921 5.549890 9.629748
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.330957 0.603057 1.069853 1.927748 3.467888 6.123207 11.066109
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.314677 0.596193 1.097700 2.054617 3.838591 7.029812 13.195271
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.291059 0.572152 1.091066 2.116919 4.098797 7.769587 15.114850
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.266155 0.541850 1.068321 2.144755 4.295935 8.414110 16.933680
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.240946 0.507198 1.032314 2.141010 4.429294 8.949986 18.603809
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.217534 0.473644 0.995494 2.133614 4.560393 9.509398 20.421840
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.199358 0.448640 0.973024 2.153511 4.752009 10.218145 22.653820
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.175267 0.407239 0.910492 2.078710 4.730590 10.478858 23.958025
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.171225 0.410143 0.943896 2.219629 5.201618 11.852419 27.903027
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.152486 0.376309 0.890914 2.156553 5.200964 12.183099 29.514273
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.135292 0.343677 0.836330 2.082058 5.163023 12.422710 30.941223
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.120776 0.315541 0.788622 2.017499 5.139857 12.692614 32.475294
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.113672 0.305140 0.782499 2.055105 5.373718 13.606691 35.727969
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.112245 0.309297 0.813106 2.190313 5.872930 15.234458 41.014523
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.107304 0.303370 0.817189 2.256710 6.201780 16.473021 45.448469
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.101033 0.292908 0.808042 2.286375 6.436456 17.496916 49.443127